Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.617231 0.685319 0.759007 0.844873 0.942426 1.050089 1.178289
2025-08-17 0.495858 0.586371 0.691901 0.824830 0.988924 1.186303 1.443870
2025-08-24 0.439519 0.542194 0.668102 0.835473 1.054553 1.334946 1.726469
2025-08-31 0.392988 0.501019 0.638845 0.830083 1.092545 1.446041 1.968429
2025-09-07 0.360310 0.472447 0.620457 0.833623 1.138635 1.568575 2.237470
2025-09-14 0.328310 0.440804 0.593622 0.820847 1.157928 1.652415 2.457747
2025-09-21 0.302862 0.415361 0.572201 0.812271 1.180406 1.740827 2.693682
2025-09-28 0.274395 0.383027 0.537796 0.780553 1.163443 1.765153 2.827180
2025-10-05 0.262996 0.374222 0.536475 0.797890 1.223270 1.915940 3.191330
2025-10-12 0.251768 0.364614 0.532854 0.810761 1.276399 2.060570 3.564191
2025-10-19 0.239930 0.353079 0.525157 0.815995 1.316679 2.186820 3.920523
2025-10-26 0.229029 0.342129 0.517374 0.820055 1.354750 2.312531 4.293340
2025-11-02 0.219606 0.333057 0.512202 0.828534 1.402358 2.462947 4.743773
2025-11-09 0.205493 0.315569 0.492128 0.809682 1.398667 2.516496 5.002003
2025-11-16 0.198202 0.308656 0.488963 0.820068 1.449903 2.682093 5.529877
2025-11-23 0.188713 0.297462 0.477716 0.814796 1.470417 2.788068 5.940818
2025-11-30 0.181504 0.289613 0.471598 0.818259 1.508032 2.933352 6.469170
2025-12-07 0.172257 0.277727 0.457620 0.805760 1.512189 3.007524 6.836354
2025-12-14 0.164355 0.267708 0.446295 0.797368 1.523809 3.099140 7.264272
2025-12-21 0.153638 0.252194 0.424177 0.766333 1.484990 3.072727 7.376510
2025-12-28 0.150602 0.250100 0.426321 0.783298 1.550327 3.293917 8.205506
2026-01-04 0.147112 0.246977 0.426327 0.795892 1.607304 3.502787 9.044781
2026-01-11 0.142828 0.242165 0.422847 0.801013 1.647982 3.677216 9.820955